Tetlock's latest project – an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions – has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight.

Today, more than ever before, the quality of a country's governance and leadership determines whether it will succeed or fail.

The world over, there are nations with roughly the same populations, the same resources, the same potential; yet some will flourish while others flounder. Why? Quite simply, some have leaders who understand the principles of good government, and some don't.

Tony Blair learnt the precepts of governing the hard way: by leading a country for over ten years. In that time ...

Bruce Daisley is European Vice-President for Twitter and host of the UK¿s number one business podcast Eat Sleep Work Repeat. He is also a regular on the conference circuit, addressing business leaders on the main stage of the CBI Annual Conference in 2017, and at that year¿s Management Today annual summit and Financial Times 125 Club, as well as at many tech industry events around Europe. He has been one of the Evening Standard¿s 1,000 Most Influential Londoners for four years and is one o...

In his international bestseller The Power of Habit, Pulitzer Prize-winner the author explained why we do what we do. In this book, he applies the same relentless curiosity and masterful analysis to the question: how can each of us achieve more.

*A TIMES AND TELEGRAPH BOOK OF THE YEAR*WHAT CAUSED THE FALL OF THE MOST PROGRESSIVE GOVERNMENT IN TWENTIETH-CENTURY EUROPE, AND THE RISE OF THE MOST TERRIFYING?

1946, and Claire Randall goes to the Scottish Highlands with her husband Frank. It's a second honeymoon, a chance to learn how war has changed them and to re-establish their loving marriage. But one afternoon, Claire walks through a circle of standing stones and vanishes into 1743, where the first person she meets is a British army officer - her husband's six-times great-grandfather. Unfortunately, Black Jack Randall is not the man his descendant is, and while trying to escape him, Claire fal...

The most comprehensive and authoritative history of D-Day ever published 'Extraordinary' Andrew Roberts'Fascinating' Daily Mail'Magisterial' James Holland________________ 6 June 1944, 4 a.m. Hundreds of boats assemble off the coast of France.

Dylan Jones is the multi-award winning editor of GQ magazine.He has been an editor at i-D magazine, The Face, Arena, the Observer and the Sunday Times. He is a Trustee of the Hay Festival, a board member of the Norman Mailer Foundation and was awarded an OBE in 2013 for services to publishing. He has written twenty books including the critically aclaimed When Ziggy Played Guitar and From the Ground Up, U2's celebration of their record-breaking 360¿ tour.